Hong Kong FC 1-3 Kitchee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
65%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
4.0
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
5%
+9.6pp
20%
Draw
9%
+10.6pp
65%
Away Win
85%
-20.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+16.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-16.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitchee EU Bookmakers 91%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
0.37/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.64/0.51
-27% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -5%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
203 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 540 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Kitchee
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.25
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 8-0 HT 6-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
26.02.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
14.01.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 5-0 HT 3-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
26.03.2014 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-5 HT 0-2 Kitchee Kitchee HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong FC
1-3
AWAY Kitchee
22% Ball Possession 78%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee got the better of Hong Kong FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kitchee as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Hong Kong FC had 22% of the ball to Kitchee's 78%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kitchee led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Hong Kong FC and 5.25 for Kitchee.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee?

Hong Kong FC 1-3 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 15%, draw 20%, Kitchee 65%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitchee), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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