Lee Man 4-1 Resources Capital FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.11
Draw
22%
8.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
85%
-23.7pp
22%
Draw
8%
+14.1pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Resources Capital FC EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
3.18/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/3.04
+3% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lee Man
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Resources Capital FC
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Lee Man Lee Man HONSAP
26.08.2023 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC 1-3 HT 0-3 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
12.03.2023 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC 0-4 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
27.11.2022 Lee Man Lee Man 3-1 HT 1-0 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC HK1
09.05.2021 Lee Man Lee Man 4-0 HT 2-0 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC HK1
28.02.2021 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC 1-5 HT 0-3 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
4-1
AWAY Resources Capital FC
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 1
12 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs Resources Capital FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man ran out comfortable winners over Resources Capital FC 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lee Man had 67% of the ball to Resources Capital FC's 33%, shots finished 23-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Lee Man and 0.83 for Resources Capital FC.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs Resources Capital FC?

Lee Man 4-1 Resources Capital FC in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs Resources Capital FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 62%, draw 22%, Resources Capital FC 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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