Iwaki 3-1 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.35
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 36%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.11/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.26
-16% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kagoshima United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.11.2022 Iwaki Iwaki 3-0 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
13.03.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-1 HT 1-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
3-1
AWAY Kagoshima United
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki got the better of Kagoshima United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Iwaki made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Iwaki had 49% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 51%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Iwaki had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Iwaki and 0.50 for Kagoshima United.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Kagoshima United?

Iwaki 3-1 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J2 League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 40%, draw 27%, Kagoshima United 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iwaki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iwaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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