Ventforet Kofu 1-2 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.21
6+ Goals
10%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
2.15/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.22
+26% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
315 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tochigi SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
16.04.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
01.10.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
08.05.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
17.07.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
14.03.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-2
AWAY Tochigi SC
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC edged past Ventforet Kofu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ventforet Kofu at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 66% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 34%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 0.83 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Tochigi SC?

Ventforet Kofu 1-2 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J2 League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 50%, draw 26%, Tochigi SC 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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