JEF United (K) 1-1 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.44
Over 2.5
31%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
66%
+3.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
34%
-3.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
1-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United (K) and Omiya Ardija (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 48% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 52%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

JEF United (K) 1-1 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 44%, draw 32%, Omiya Ardija (K) 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (JEF United (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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