Ballinamallard United 0-4 Bangor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
30%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.21
2-3 Goals
46%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.02
6+ Goals
8%
9.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.21 — our 24% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.4pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-9.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+14.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-14.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.31/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.77
-27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
259 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bangor FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
1 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Bangor FC Bangor FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
09.09.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-3 HT 0-1 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ballinamallard United
0-4
AWAY Bangor FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Bangor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor FC cruised past Ballinamallard United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Bangor FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ballinamallard United had 55% of the ball to Bangor FC's 45%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.50 for Bangor FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Bangor FC?

Ballinamallard United 0-4 Bangor FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Bangor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 37%, draw 33%, Bangor FC 30%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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