Newington Youth 3-0 Dergview FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Dergview FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
2.64/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.23
+38% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Dergview FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 3-2 HT 1-2 Dergview FC Dergview FC KİRL1
29.04.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 3-1 HT 1-0 Dergview FC Dergview FC KİRL1
31.01.2023 Dergview FC Dergview FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
21.01.2023 Dergview FC Dergview FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newington Youth
3-0
AWAY Dergview FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Dergview FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth swept aside Dergview FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Newington Youth had 51% of the ball to Dergview FC's 49%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newington Youth and 2.25 for Dergview FC.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Dergview FC?

Newington Youth 3-0 Dergview FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Dergview FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 52%, draw 23%, Dergview FC 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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