Aguilas Doradas 0-2 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.28/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.91
+4% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.8 Crosses 16.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Junior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.60 xG 1.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
273 Passes 233
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
26.11.2023 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
16.07.2023 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
26.01.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
01.08.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
08.02.2022 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 2-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
0-2
AWAY Junior
0.75 xG 0.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
336 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 6
26 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior got the better of Aguilas Doradas 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Junior made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 57% of the ball to Junior's 43%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 0.75 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.33 for Junior.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Junior?

Aguilas Doradas 0-2 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 37%, draw 27%, Junior 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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