Deportivo Pasto vs Boyaca Chico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Boyaca Chico — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Boyaca Chico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Boyaca Chico
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
3-0
HT 1-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Boyaca Chico — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Pasto nicked a narrow win over Boyaca Chico 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Pasto as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 50% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 50%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.63 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.67 for Boyaca Chico.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Boyaca Chico?
Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Boyaca Chico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 41%, draw 34%, Boyaca Chico 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.