ASV Neumarkt 3-2 Fortuna Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.4pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASV Neumarkt EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Regensburg EU Bookmakers 40%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-100% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH ASV Neumarkt vs Fortuna Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASV Neumarkt nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Regensburg 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had ASV Neumarkt as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of ASV Neumarkt vs Fortuna Regensburg?

ASV Neumarkt 3-2 Fortuna Regensburg in the Germany - Oberliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASV Neumarkt vs Fortuna Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a ASV Neumarkt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ASV Neumarkt 45%, draw 20%, Fortuna Regensburg 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ASV Neumarkt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ASV Neumarkt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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