09/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Gebenbach vs Hankofen-Hailing Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
23%
Draw
28%
26%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gebenbach v Hankofen-Hailing — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gebenbach
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hankofen-Hailing
EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-48% /
-48%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-27%
/
-27%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
307 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
223 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Gebenbach vs Hankofen-Hailing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hankofen-Hailing got the better of Gebenbach 3-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Gebenbach at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Gebenbach vs Hankofen-Hailing?
Gebenbach 1-3 Hankofen-Hailing in the Germany - Oberliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gebenbach vs Hankofen-Hailing?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gebenbach win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gebenbach 51%, draw 23%, Hankofen-Hailing 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gebenbach) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Gebenbach)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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OBER
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9 Mar 2024