Optik Rathenow 1-1 Lichtenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Optik Rathenow EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lichtenberg EU Bookmakers 34%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/2.00
-53% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Optik Rathenow
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Lichtenberg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2022 Optik Rathenow Optik Rathenow 2-4 HT 0-2 Lichtenberg Lichtenberg ALMBÖL
31.08.2021 Lichtenberg Lichtenberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Optik Rathenow Optik Rathenow ALMBÖL
14.12.2019 Optik Rathenow Optik Rathenow 3-0 HT 0-0 Lichtenberg Lichtenberg ALMBÖL
10.09.2019 Lichtenberg Lichtenberg 0-1 HT 0-0 Optik Rathenow Optik Rathenow ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Optik Rathenow vs Lichtenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Optik Rathenow and Lichtenberg shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Optik Rathenow and 1.50 for Lichtenberg.

What was the final score of Optik Rathenow vs Lichtenberg?

Optik Rathenow 1-1 Lichtenberg in the Germany - Oberliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Optik Rathenow vs Lichtenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Optik Rathenow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Optik Rathenow 40%, draw 25%, Lichtenberg 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Optik Rathenow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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