09/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
Sonthofen vs Ismaning Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
18%
23%
Draw
21%
43%
Away Win
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sonthofen v Ismaning — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sonthofen
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ismaning
EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
5
241 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
511 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sonthofen vs Ismaning
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ismaning squeezed past Sonthofen 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ismaning as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Sonthofen vs Ismaning?
Sonthofen 0-1 Ismaning in the Germany - Oberliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sonthofen vs Ismaning?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ismaning win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sonthofen 34%, draw 23%, Ismaning 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ismaning) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ismaning)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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OBER
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