Sandecja Nowy Sacz 2-3 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

Sandecja Nowy Sacz
2-3 HT 1-2
Pogon Siedlce
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.81
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.5pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sandecja Nowy Sacz v Pogon Siedlce — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandecja Nowy Sacz EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.40/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.23
+0% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Pogon Siedlce Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandecja Nowy Sacz
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-0 HT 1-0 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL2
11.10.2015 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL1
03.05.2015 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-2 HT 1-1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL1
04.10.2014 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz 0-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
POST-MATCH Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Siedlce nicked a narrow win over Sandecja Nowy Sacz 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pogon Siedlce as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pogon Siedlce led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sandecja Nowy Sacz and 1.25 for Pogon Siedlce.

What was the final score of Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Pogon Siedlce?

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 2-3 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Siedlce win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sandecja Nowy Sacz 32%, draw 26%, Pogon Siedlce 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Siedlce), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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