Stomil Olsztyn 0-1 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
21.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.6pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stomil Olsztyn EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 36%
+17% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.49/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.84
-2% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stomil Olsztyn
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 HT 0-0 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stomil Olsztyn
0-1
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stomil Olsztyn vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola edged past Stomil Olsztyn 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Stal Stalowa Wola made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Stomil Olsztyn had 55% of the ball to Stal Stalowa Wola's 45%, shots finished 6-8.

What was the final score of Stomil Olsztyn vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Stomil Olsztyn 0-1 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stomil Olsztyn vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stomil Olsztyn win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stomil Olsztyn 39%, draw 28%, Stal Stalowa Wola 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stomil Olsztyn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stomil Olsztyn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
9 Mar 2024
14:00 Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Pogon Siedlce Analysis →
16:00 Hutnik Krakow vs Wisla Pulawy Analysis →