Shinnik 0-2 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.36/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.02
+30% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
1W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-4 HT 0-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
05.03.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-1 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
0-2
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva beat Shinnik 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Rodina Moskva as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Shinnik had 36% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 64%, shots finished 3-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Shinnik and 1.50 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Shinnik 0-2 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 31%, draw 25%, FK Rodina Moskva 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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