Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-3 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.3pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.41/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.09
+32% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Akron
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Akron Akron 3-1 HT 2-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
08.04.2023 Akron Akron 1-1 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
18.09.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
10.04.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-2 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUS1
29.09.2021 Akron Akron 4-1 HT 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
20.03.2021 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
2-3
AWAY Akron
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron edged past Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 35%) promised a tight game; Akron found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 51% of the ball to Akron's 49%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Akron led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 1.83 for Akron.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Akron?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-3 Akron in the Russia - FNL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 40%, draw 24%, Akron 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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