Skalica 1-2 Dukla Banska Bystrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skalica EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.18/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.83
-37% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +48%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
20.0 Crosses 20.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skalica
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 0.84
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
405 Passes 234
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Skalica Skalica 0-3 HT 0-2 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
18.08.2023 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-1 HT 1-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
04.03.2023 Skalica Skalica 1-2 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
16.09.2022 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 0-0 HT 0-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
31.07.2021 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK2
06.03.2021 Skalica Skalica 2-1 HT 2-1 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skalica
1-2
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica
0.71 xG 2.10
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
287 Passes 205
70% Pass Accuracy 63%
31 Box Touches 29
33 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Skalica vs Dukla Banska Bystrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Banska Bystrica squeezed past Skalica 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Dukla Banska Bystrica found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Skalica had 56% of the ball to Dukla Banska Bystrica's 44%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 0.71 to 2.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dukla Banska Bystrica's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dukla Banska Bystrica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Skalica and 1.33 for Dukla Banska Bystrica.

What was the final score of Skalica vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

Skalica 1-2 Dukla Banska Bystrica in the Slovakia Super League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skalica vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skalica win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Skalica 37%, draw 27%, Dukla Banska Bystrica 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Skalica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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