Zilina 3-2 Podbrezova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zilina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.55/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.58
+6% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
16.0 Crosses 13.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zilina
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Podbrezova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.61
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
256 Passes 363
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Zilina Zilina 2-1 HT 2-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
06.08.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 2-0 HT 0-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
05.05.2023 Zilina Zilina 0-1 HT 0-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
07.04.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 3-2 HT 1-2 Zilina Zilina SLVK
19.02.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 3-1 HT 1-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
02.09.2022 Zilina Zilina 0-1 HT 0-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zilina
3-2
AWAY Podbrezova
1.86 xG 1.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
287 Passes 379
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zilina vs Podbrezova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zilina nicked a narrow win over Podbrezova 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zilina as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Zilina had 44% of the ball to Podbrezova's 56%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.86 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Podbrezova led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zilina and 1.83 for Podbrezova.

What was the final score of Zilina vs Podbrezova?

Zilina 3-2 Podbrezova in the Slovakia Super League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zilina vs Podbrezova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zilina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zilina 42%, draw 24%, Podbrezova 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zilina), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zilina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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