CA Bizertin 1-0 AS Marsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.95
No
62%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
73%
-8.7pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
30%
+7.7pp
62%
BTTS No
70%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 11%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.42/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -49%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
417 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Bizertin
2W-1D-0L
AWAY AS Marsa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 3-1 HT 1-0 AS Marsa AS Marsa TUN1B
17.09.2023 AS Marsa AS Marsa 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1B
24.12.2015 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-0 HT 0-0 AS Marsa AS Marsa TUN1
POST-MATCH CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Bizertin squeezed past AS Marsa 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CA Bizertin as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CA Bizertin had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CA Bizertin and 0.33 for AS Marsa.

What was the final score of CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?

CA Bizertin 1-0 AS Marsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Bizertin win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split CA Bizertin 64%, draw 21%, AS Marsa 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Bizertin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Bizertin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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