Binh Duong 3-2 Song Lam Nghe An — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.15/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.51
-33% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Binh Duong
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
29.07.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 0-2 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
07.04.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 1-1 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
03.11.2022 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 3-0 HT 2-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
25.02.2022 Binh Duong Binh Duong 0-1 HT 0-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
12.04.2021 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 2-0 HT 1-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
20.04.2014 Binh Duong Binh Duong 2-1 HT 1-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Binh Duong
3-2
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Binh Duong nicked a narrow win over Song Lam Nghe An 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Binh Duong as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Binh Duong had 53% of the ball to Song Lam Nghe An's 47%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Song Lam Nghe An led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Binh Duong and 1.33 for Song Lam Nghe An.

What was the final score of Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Binh Duong 3-2 Song Lam Nghe An in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Before kick-off our model rated a Binh Duong win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Binh Duong 47%, draw 25%, Song Lam Nghe An 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Binh Duong) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Binh Duong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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