Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-1 Ho Chi Minh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.4pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ho Chi Minh EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.26/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.69
-19% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ho Chi Minh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2023 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0-0 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
09.10.2022 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-2 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
16.07.2022 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 0-2 HT 0-2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
28.03.2021 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3-0 HT 1-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
30.10.2020 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 2-1 HT 2-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
01.10.2020 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 5-2 HT 3-1 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
POST-MATCH Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Ho Chi Minh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoang Anh Gia Lai edged past Ho Chi Minh 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hoang Anh Gia Lai as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoang Anh Gia Lai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 1.00 for Ho Chi Minh.

What was the final score of Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Ho Chi Minh?

Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-1 Ho Chi Minh in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Ho Chi Minh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoang Anh Gia Lai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hoang Anh Gia Lai 44%, draw 33%, Ho Chi Minh 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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