Göteborg 4-0 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 9 Mar 2025

Göteborg
4-0 HT 2-0
Hammarby
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒15:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Cup – 2024/2025

Göteborg vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göteborg v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 37%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
0.19/3.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.80
-89% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +67%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Göteborg vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hammarby
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.40
44% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 411
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
15.07.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 0-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
01.10.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
21.05.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
15.08.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
11.07.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ

Göteborg 4-0 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
4-0
AWAY Hammarby
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg ran out comfortable winners over Hammarby 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Göteborg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Göteborg had 44% of the ball to Hammarby's 56%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Göteborg and 1.17 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Hammarby?

Göteborg 4-0 Hammarby in the Sweden - Cup on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 38%, draw 28%, Hammarby 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göteborg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göteborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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