Malaga 0-2 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2025

Malaga
0-2 HT 0-0
Cadiz
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Malaga vs Cadiz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.82
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.49
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
16%
5.96
X/2
11%
5.33
X/X
12%
3.63
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.77
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malaga v Cadiz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.11/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.53
-27% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.2 Crosses 19.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2

Malaga vs Cadiz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cadiz
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 0.91
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 221
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 2-2 HT 2-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
23.07.2022 Malaga Malaga 0-2 HT 2-0 Cadiz Cadiz HAZ
16.02.2020 Cadiz Cadiz 0-1 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
12.10.2019 Malaga Malaga 1-2 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
10.08.2019 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga HAZ
06.05.2019 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 1-1 Malaga Malaga İS2

Malaga 0-2 Cadiz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
0-2
AWAY Cadiz
0.26 xG 0.93
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
316 Passes 282
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz beat Malaga 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Malaga at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Malaga had 53% of the ball to Cadiz's 47%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.26 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cadiz led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malaga and 1.33 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Cadiz?

Malaga 0-2 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Malaga 41%, draw 28%, Cadiz 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Malaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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