Cadiz vs Malaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cadiz v Malaga — Team-Based Signals
Cadiz vs Malaga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 2-0
Cadiz
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Malaga
İS2
1-2
HT 0-1
Cadiz
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Malaga
HAZ
1-1
HT 1-1
Malaga
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Cadiz
İS2
Cadiz 2-2 Malaga — Actual Match Statistics
Cadiz and Malaga shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Cadiz at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cadiz had 41% of the ball to Malaga's 59%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.14 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cadiz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cadiz and 0.67 for Malaga.
What was the final score of Cadiz vs Malaga?
Cadiz 2-2 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Malaga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 43%, draw 31%, Malaga 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.