Eibar vs Eldense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Eibar v Eldense — Team-Based Signals
Eibar vs Eldense Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Eibar 1-0 Eldense — Actual Match Statistics
Eibar nicked a narrow win over Eldense 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Eibar had 46% of the ball to Eldense's 54%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.94 to 0.85.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Eibar and 1.50 for Eldense.
What was the final score of Eibar vs Eldense?
Eibar 1-0 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Eibar vs Eldense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Eibar 47%, draw 26%, Eldense 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.