Cartagena 0-1 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.3
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.42
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.82
X/2
10%
6.32
X/X
17%
3.5
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.06
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -24%
1.35/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.70
+20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.8 Crosses 21.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 1.08
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
228 Passes 416
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Cartagena Cartagena 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
08.10.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
0-1
AWAY Racing Ferrol
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
237 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol squeezed past Cartagena 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Racing Ferrol found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cartagena had 41% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 59%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cartagena had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cartagena and 1.00 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Racing Ferrol?

Cartagena 0-1 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 36%, draw 33%, Racing Ferrol 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cartagena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cartagena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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