Cartagena 2-1 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
5.96
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
13%
4.73
X/2
12%
5.9
X/X
16%
3.42
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.9
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.6pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.39/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.12
+18% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.6 Crosses 16.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 0.91
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
192 Passes 463
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 37
4 Yellow Cards 0
08.10.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
2-1
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.41 xG 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 Passes 368
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena nicked a narrow win over Racing Ferrol 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Cartagena found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cartagena had 43% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 57%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.41 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Racing Ferrol?

Cartagena 2-1 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 37%, draw 32%, Racing Ferrol 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cartagena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cartagena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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