Valladolid 2-0 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.01
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.55
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.56
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.85
X/1
17%
3.72
X/2
9%
8.58
X/X
11%
3.5
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
12%
8.13
2/X
7%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.3pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.31/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.17
-1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
26.0 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.65 xG 0.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 Passes 362
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
22.01.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
20.08.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
27.05.2018 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 3-2 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
19.12.2017 Valladolid Valladolid 3-2 HT 3-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
02.04.2017 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 1-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
2-0
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.70 xG 0.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
301 Passes 282
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid saw off Real Zaragoza 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valladolid as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valladolid had 51% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 49%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.70 to 0.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valladolid and 1.17 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Real Zaragoza?

Valladolid 2-0 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 49%, draw 26%, Real Zaragoza 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valladolid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valladolid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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