Albacete 1-2 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.11
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.36 — our 37% vs market 35.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.65
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
13%
5.01
X/2
15%
5.84
X/X
17%
3.62
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.55
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.10
-15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
21.8 Crosses 19.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 274
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
26.02.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
15.10.2022 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
30.01.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
03.10.2020 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
02.02.2020 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
1-2
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.60 xG 1.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
337 Passes 289
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 19
6 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo edged past Albacete 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Real Oviedo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albacete had 53% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 47%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.60 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Albacete and 1.33 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Real Oviedo?

Albacete 1-2 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Albacete 38%, draw 30%, Real Oviedo 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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