Mirandes 3-1 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
6.32
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.64
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
16%
4.71
X/2
9%
5.88
X/X
18%
3.34
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.97
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.33/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.15
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.8 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Eldense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.58 xG 3.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
255 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.11.2023 Eldense Eldense 2-2 HT 1-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
3-1
AWAY Eldense
0.68 xG 1.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
248 Passes 320
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes saw off Eldense 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 28%) promised a tight game; Mirandes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mirandes had 44% of the ball to Eldense's 56%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.68 to 1.05.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Eldense?

Mirandes 3-1 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 40%, draw 31%, Eldense 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirandes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirandes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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