Roma (K) 2-1 Inter Milano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.66/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.82
+37% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +54%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
333 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
22.0 Crosses 24.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.31 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
330 Passes 329
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.01.2025 Roma (K) Roma (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
05.10.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
05.05.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 4-3 HT 2-3 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
29.03.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
20.01.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
2-1
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
3.76 xG 0.94
52% Ball Possession 48%
29 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 0
305 Passes 291
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
46 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Inter Milano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) nicked a narrow win over Inter Milano (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Roma (K) had 52% of the ball to Inter Milano (K)'s 48%, shots finished 29-11, expected goals 3.76 to 0.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Roma (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Roma (K) and 1.80 for Inter Milano (K).

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Roma (K) 2-1 Inter Milano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 50%, draw 25%, Inter Milano (K) 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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