Afturelding 1-2 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
68%
-20.0pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.1pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 18%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
3.80/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/2.51
+32% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
401 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
0W-0D-4L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
05.08.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 0-1 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
27.05.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
20.02.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-0 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
30.07.2020 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 6-2 HT 3-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZK
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur squeezed past Afturelding 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Afturelding at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, HK Kopavogur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Afturelding and 2.75 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur?

Afturelding 1-2 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - League Cup on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 48%, draw 24%, HK Kopavogur 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afturelding) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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