Stjarnan 1-3 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.32
No
39%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.7pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 46%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.46/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.33
-79% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 1.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
298 Passes 327
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.07.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
16.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-3 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZK
12.04.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-3 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
08.03.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZLK
28.09.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
21.08.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-1 HT 2-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik beat Stjarnan 3-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Stjarnan and 1.50 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?

Stjarnan 1-3 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 31%, draw 28%, KR Reykjavik 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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