Stjarnan 1-3 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
43%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 36%
+14% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -16%
2.53/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.90
+52% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
10.8 Crosses 21.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
285 Passes 345
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZLK
28.09.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
21.08.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-1 HT 2-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
06.06.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZK
28.05.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
29.10.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
1-3
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.64 xG 1.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 7
308 Passes 221
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik saw off Stjarnan 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stjarnan at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stjarnan had 56% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 44%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.64 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stjarnan and 0.83 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?

Stjarnan 1-3 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 49%, draw 24%, KR Reykjavik 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stjarnan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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