KR Reykjavik 1-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.33
No
36%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
71%
-7.7pp
36%
BTTS No
29%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.77/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.36
-18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
24.3 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.36 xG 1.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
334 Passes 322
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-3 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZK
12.04.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-3 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
08.03.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZLK
28.09.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
21.08.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-1 HT 2-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
06.06.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
1-1
AWAY Stjarnan
1.81 xG 0.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
307 Passes 228
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik and Stjarnan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 56% of the ball to Stjarnan's 44%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.81 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for KR Reykjavik and 2.17 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

KR Reykjavik 1-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 39%, draw 27%, Stjarnan 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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