Valur 4-0 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Jul 2024

Valur
4-0 HT 1-0
Fylkir
📅06/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.3pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.3pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.8pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.97/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.61
-9% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
432 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
26.1 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fylkir
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.26 xG 1.84
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
421 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 0-0 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
04.02.2024 Valur Valur 4-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZLK
12.07.2023 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
03.05.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 1-6 HT 0-4 Valur Valur İZL
25.09.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 0-6 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
27.06.2021 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
4-0
AWAY Fylkir
2.63 xG 0.93
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
465 Passes 257
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
41 Box Touches 22
31 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Valur vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur ran out comfortable winners over Fylkir 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Valur had 62% of the ball to Fylkir's 38%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.63 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Valur and 0.50 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Valur vs Fylkir?

Valur 4-0 Fylkir in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Valur 60%, draw 22%, Fylkir 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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