Vestri 2-2 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
48%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
15%
+10.9pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.3pp
48%
Away Win
66%
-18.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 71%
+72% / +72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.11
+150% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +21%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
190 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.3
Crosses 26.5
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Breidablik
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
13.04.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 4-0 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
03.03.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
2-2
AWAY Breidablik
2.00 xG 1.64
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
184 Passes 435
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vestri vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri and Breidablik shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Breidablik at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vestri had 35% of the ball to Breidablik's 65%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 2.00 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vestri and 2.50 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Vestri vs Breidablik?

Vestri 2-2 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vestri 26%, draw 26%, Breidablik 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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