Stjarnan 5-3 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.52/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/2.44
-19% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.59 xG 1.38
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
291 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-3 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
08.03.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZLK
28.09.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
21.08.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-1 HT 2-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
06.06.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZK
28.05.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
5-3
AWAY KR Reykjavik
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 24
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan saw off KR Reykjavik 5-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Stjarnan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stjarnan had 45% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 55%, shots finished 10-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stjarnan and 1.33 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?

Stjarnan 5-3 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 34%, draw 29%, KR Reykjavik 37%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ BTTS Yes
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