Fylkir 3-1 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.8pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 22%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
7.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.27
+150% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
1W-2D-3L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 Passes 406
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-2 HT 1-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
18.07.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 0-0 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
29.04.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
23.08.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-2 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
16.06.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 0-1 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
09.07.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 1-2 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fylkir
3-1
AWAY HK Kopavogur
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fylkir got the better of HK Kopavogur 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fylkir as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fylkir had 58% of the ball to HK Kopavogur's 42%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HK Kopavogur led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fylkir and 1.00 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs HK Kopavogur?

Fylkir 3-1 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 54%, draw 18%, HK Kopavogur 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fylkir), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fylkir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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