Keflavik 3-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.7pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 53%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+62% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
3W-0D-3L
AWAY İA Akranes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 1-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZK
02.10.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 3-2 HT 2-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
28.08.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 0-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
29.05.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
02.10.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZK
25.09.2021 Keflavik Keflavik 2-3 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keflavik
3-1
AWAY İA Akranes
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik saw off İA Akranes 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was İA Akranes at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Keflavik had 52% of the ball to İA Akranes's 48%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Keflavik and 1.33 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs İA Akranes?

Keflavik 3-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated an İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 32%, draw 26%, İA Akranes 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İA Akranes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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