Nublense 1-1 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.26/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.53
-3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.2 Crosses 16.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
2W-1D-3L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 0.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 Passes 296
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.07.2024 Nublense Nublense 1-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
24.02.2024 U. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
27.08.2023 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
04.03.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-2 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
08.10.2022 U. Catolica 2-2 HT 2-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
09.05.2022 Nublense Nublense 4-0 HT 3-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
1-1
AWAY U. Catolica
1.37 xG 0.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
354 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nublense vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense and U. Catolica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nublense had 53% of the ball to U. Catolica's 47%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.37 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nublense and 1.33 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Nublense vs U. Catolica?

Nublense 1-1 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nublense 39%, draw 25%, U. Catolica 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nublense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nublense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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