CA Sarmiento 1-1 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
6.09
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.47
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
16%
4.79
X/2
9%
6.49
X/X
13%
3.23
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
14%
5.54
2/X
11%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +30%
1.10/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.06
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +83%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
20.1 Crosses 13.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Barracas Central
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
204 Passes 304
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
25.02.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
03.10.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
04.02.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 3-5 HT 1-2 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
08.10.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
19.03.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 2-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
1-1
AWAY Barracas Central
1.88 xG 2.64
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 5
232 Passes 323
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 39
19 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento and Barracas Central shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 42% of the ball to Barracas Central's 58%, shots finished 17-22, expected goals 1.88 to 2.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barracas Central led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA Sarmiento and 1.67 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Barracas Central?

CA Sarmiento 1-1 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Sarmiento win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 38%, draw 31%, Barracas Central 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA Sarmiento), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA Sarmiento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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