Barracas Central 1-1 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.46
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
17%
4.04
X/2
7%
7.32
X/X
16%
3.76
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
13%
6.41
2/X
8%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 28%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.29/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.27
-64% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.9 Crosses 17.4
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barracas Central
2W-3D-0L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.26 xG 0.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
293 Passes 217
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.02.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
03.10.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
04.02.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 3-5 HT 1-2 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
08.10.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
19.03.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 2-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barracas Central
1-1
AWAY CA Sarmiento
0.63 xG 1.20
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
356 Passes 141
80% Pass Accuracy 58%
19 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barracas Central vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central and CA Sarmiento couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barracas Central at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barracas Central had 64% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 36%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.63 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Barracas Central had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Barracas Central and 1.20 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Barracas Central vs CA Sarmiento?

Barracas Central 1-1 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barracas Central vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barracas Central win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Barracas Central 44%, draw 29%, CA Sarmiento 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barracas Central), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barracas Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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