River Plate 3-0 Belgrano Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
24.0
X/1
17%
3.4
X/2
5%
22.7
X/X
11%
7.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
7%
18.85
2/X
6%
24.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-13.4pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 11%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.98/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.68
+22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -8%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 69%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
23.2 Crosses 14.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.05 xG 0.85
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
488 Passes 172
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2023 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
05.02.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
19.08.2018 River Plate River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
19.03.2018 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
27.03.2017 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
15.02.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 3-2 HT 3-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
3-0
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
77% Ball Possession 23%
22 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
609 Passes 116
88% Pass Accuracy 58%
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Belgrano Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate cruised past Belgrano Cordoba 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, River Plate had 77% of the ball to Belgrano Cordoba's 23%, shots finished 22-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for River Plate and 1.33 for Belgrano Cordoba.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Belgrano Cordoba?

River Plate 3-0 Belgrano Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split River Plate 60%, draw 23%, Belgrano Cordoba 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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