Newcastle Jets 1-1 Auckland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 9 Mar 2025

Newcastle Jets
1-1 HT 1-1
Auckland
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Newcastle Jets vs Auckland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.17 — our 27% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.35
1/2
5%
23.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
13%
6.76
X/2
9%
5.37
X/X
11%
5.24
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
24%
3.04
2/X
6%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.0pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets v Auckland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland EU Bookmakers 46%
-12% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.20/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.38
-17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
19.0 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Newcastle Jets vs Auckland Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Auckland
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
338 Passes 406
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Auckland Auckland 2-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS

Newcastle Jets 1-1 Auckland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets
1-1
AWAY Auckland
2.02 xG 0.81
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
439 Passes 293
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets vs Auckland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets and Auckland couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Newcastle Jets had 58% of the ball to Auckland's 42%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.02 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Auckland?

Newcastle Jets 1-1 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Auckland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 38%, draw 24%, Auckland 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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