Auckland 2-0 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.5
X/1
18%
4.23
X/2
11%
12.5
X/X
12%
6.51
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
7%
9.63
2/X
5%
19.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auckland EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
Crosses 16.2
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auckland
2-0
AWAY Newcastle Jets
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
406 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Auckland vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland beat Newcastle Jets 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Auckland as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Auckland had 55% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 45%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Auckland vs Newcastle Jets?

Auckland 2-0 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auckland vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Auckland 51%, draw 24%, Newcastle Jets 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auckland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVUS More Australia - A-League
30 Nov 2024
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