Melbourne City 0-2 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.76
2-3 Goals
37%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.65
6+ Goals
17%
6.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
14%
5.16
X/2
13%
10.05
X/X
8%
6.94
2/1
12%
23.0
2/2
11%
6.32
2/X
6%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.9pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.2pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
2.05/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.77
+38% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
16.6 Crosses 15.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.02 xG 1.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
457 Passes 372
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-2 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
12.03.2024 Melbourne City Melbourne City 7-0 HT 4-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
12.01.2024 Melbourne City Melbourne City 0-1 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
28.04.2023 Melbourne City Melbourne City 3-2 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
15.01.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
11.02.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-2 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne City
0-2
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
2.44 xG 1.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
460 Passes 363
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers saw off Melbourne City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melbourne City had 56% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 44%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.44 to 1.72 — on chances, Melbourne City could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Melbourne City and 1.00 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Melbourne City 0-2 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City 50%, draw 21%, Western Sydney Wanderers 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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