Melbourne City 7-0 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 12 Mar 2024

Melbourne City
7-0 HT 4-0
Western Sydney Wanderers
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.5
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
4.74
X/2
8%
8.06
X/X
12%
5.54
2/1
6%
21.45
2/2
14%
5.25
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · X/1 at 4.74 — our 22% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.2pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne City v Western Sydney Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.74/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.68
+23% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.1 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.17 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
471 Passes 366
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.01.2024 Melbourne City Melbourne City 0-1 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
28.04.2023 Melbourne City Melbourne City 3-2 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
15.01.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
11.02.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-2 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
09.01.2022 Melbourne City Melbourne City 3-3 HT 2-2 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
26.03.2021 Melbourne City Melbourne City 4-1 HT 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS

Melbourne City 7-0 Western Sydney Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne City
7-0
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
3.62 xG 1.15
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
541 Passes 264
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City cruised past Western Sydney Wanderers 7-0. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Melbourne City had 64% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 36%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 3.62 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Melbourne City and 1.50 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Melbourne City 7-0 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City 47%, draw 25%, Western Sydney Wanderers 28%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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