Patro Eisden 1-2 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.82
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
12%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.64/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.40
+55% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
17.4 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.36 xG 1.07
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
177 Passes 430
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.11.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-0 HT 0-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
15.03.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-1 HT 0-1 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
26.08.2023 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 2-1 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
1-2
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
2.72 xG 0.59
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
110 Passes 256
53% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren nicked a narrow win over Patro Eisden 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Patro Eisden at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 39% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 61%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.72 to 0.59 — the balance of chances actually favoured Patro Eisden.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Patro Eisden had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Patro Eisden and 0.33 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs Waasland-Beveren?

Patro Eisden 1-2 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 41%, draw 24%, Waasland-Beveren 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Patro Eisden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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